Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.867374 5.539747 6.280003 7.156896 8.169155 9.303164 10.672866
2025-05-04 4.071590 4.972809 6.043874 7.416180 9.135697 11.229289 13.987084
2025-05-11 3.401452 4.370051 5.586496 7.236963 9.434135 12.281034 16.285708
2025-05-18 2.957628 3.958344 5.272627 7.141430 9.756807 13.325884 18.631932
2025-05-25 2.624311 3.636703 5.018181 7.063523 10.052965 14.321824 20.985880
2025-06-01 2.344289 3.349063 4.766936 6.942406 10.247102 15.161614 23.179171
2025-06-08 2.105323 3.090500 4.523107 6.792935 10.363567 15.873633 25.233811
2025-06-15 2.012388 3.034301 4.565141 7.069361 11.148812 17.682746 29.246572
2025-06-22 1.882611 2.907422 4.484022 7.138420 11.601555 18.996454 32.585252
2025-06-29 1.744005 2.752669 4.342554 7.090846 11.848455 19.982376 35.461497
2025-07-06 1.614646 2.600529 4.189987 7.006075 12.016164 20.838812 38.195272
2025-07-13 1.555550 2.557785 4.211509 7.216880 12.717338 22.706333 43.052373
2025-07-20 1.487244 2.495253 4.196540 7.366279 13.331497 24.499240 48.046267
2025-07-27 1.442890 2.469809 4.242490 7.628520 14.181713 26.833012 54.461283
2025-08-03 1.333331 2.320526 4.056848 7.443100 14.152354 27.444385 57.347798
2025-08-10 1.247097 2.206134 3.924279 7.344526 14.280492 28.379737 61.055771
2025-08-17 1.171310 2.104851 3.807282 7.264192 14.434548 29.380473 65.042185
2025-08-24 1.096430 1.999566 3.674301 7.139316 14.481862 30.156231 68.611596
2025-08-31 1.024390 1.894381 3.533353 6.985216 14.450333 30.753748 71.835335
2025-09-07 1.009595 1.897904 3.602890 7.270210 15.395500 33.629854 81.072642
2025-09-14 0.971430 1.852787 3.572553 7.341414 15.873474 35.491769 88.025754
2025-09-21 0.923242 1.784286 3.489921 7.292361 16.072616 36.719592 93.503591
2025-09-28 0.874706 1.711755 3.393722 7.204960 16.173385 37.720634 98.521085